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Real Work Force – 11/30/14

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for November 2014 showing no change to the unemployment rate at 5.8% with a better than expected 320,000  jobs created.

The Gray Lady’s cheerleaders continued their applause:

Ever since the recovery from the Great Recession began more than five years ago, the most crucial missing pieces of the economic puzzle were the lack of consistently strong gains in hiring and better wages for most working Americans struggling to make ends meet. Now, at last, those pieces are starting to fall into place. The Labor Department reported on Friday that employers added 321,000 jobs in November, a much stronger number than economists had predicted and the 10th consecutive month of net job gains above 200,000.

But at the Labor Department, they’re having trouble explaining the numbers compared to November 2013:

The raw, unadjusted data from Labor showed that 523,000 new jobs were created in November 2013. After that figure was seasonally adjusted, the growth was reduced to 203,000.The raw, unadjusted numbers reported Friday showed 497,000 new jobs — or 26,000 less than last year’s 523,000 raw number. Yet, this November’s adjustment resulted in a headline figure of 321,000 — or a whopping 118,000 more than last year.If the seasonal adjustments stayed consistent Friday’s growth should have been less than last year’s 203,000!

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is ‘in’ the wagon versus who is ‘pulling’ the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

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RWF - 20141130 - Real Work Force - 01

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After the April 2014 nosedive, the rate is struggling to rise back to the levels of the prior year.  There was little change in the labor force number again this month, so while 320,000 jobs is a good headline, it will likely be adjusted more in line with November 2013.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month:

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RWF - 20141130 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

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Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

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RWF - 20141130 - Labor Force - 01

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Population Estimate from census.gov:

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RWF - 20141130 - Population Estimate - 01

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Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
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Posted by on December 8, 2014 in Economy, Unemployment

 

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About That Articvle V Convention

As a trainer for Level 1 of the Center for Self Governance and the Chair of the Cape County Tea Party, I’m a constructionist / originalist when it comes to the Constitution.  Therefore, when talk of an Article V Convention comes about, I feel that my support of the Constitution must extend to the Convention as well.  If I support the brilliance of the Founders in the creation of this republic and the limitation of the Federal Government, I must support them in their correct prediction that the Federal Government would become and out-of-control behemoth (the rottweiler), and the people would have but one arrow left in their quiver: The Article V Convention for Proposing Amendments To The Constitution.

a_Constitution-Day[1]

However, I think those who advocate the current effort at a Convention are wrong to believe that they can limit the topics of the proposed amendments at the Convention… …at least that’s the way I read the Constitution.  Congress can only call the Convention, and the Convention is for Proposing Amendments… …no qualifiers… …no adjectives.

I also feel any application by a state that attempts to limit the topics of the convention is invalid.  Missouri has called for an Article V Convention only if it’s for a Balanced Budget Amendment.  Congress can only open a Convention for Proposing Amendments (sans specific topics). Therefore Missouri’s application is self-invalidating as soon as a Convention opens for Proposing Amendments.

But, I’m no constitutional scholar like BHO… …I’m just a computer geek.

Here is some more information received from my friend Karen on the Constitutional Convention:

The proposed “Article V Convention” is nothing new.  It was first proposed by Ford and Rockefeller in 1963.  It has been tried multiple times in my lifetime, with each attempt given a different name.  Conservatives have succeeded in blocking it each time. History of these attempts are archived here.

The main source of financial backing and stealth support from the left speaks to a focused effort to manipulate and exploit a convention, should it ever take place.

An Q&A discussion of the subject by a Constitutional scholar, and an in-depth article with references, using the Framer’s original source documents can be read here.  If there are questions, there is a place to contact the author.

It should be noted that since the 1787 Convention of States, the rules for using this method have not been changed.  The 2/3 ratification rule does not apply to this alternate method.  Still, only 9 states are required for ratification, as originally stated.

The framers did not follow the rules in the Articles of Confederation that said all 13 states must agree in order to ratify a new Constitution.  Since we were governed by men of integrity when it came to content of the Constitution, we dodged a bullet.

How will those rules be changed, if the ones financing and promoting this new Convention of states are in control?  Will they insist the old Convention rule of ratification by 9 states be enforced?

Like I said, I support the idea of the Convention, but the Conservatives and Libertarians better be ready for the Progressive cancer that will invade its proceedings.

 
4 Comments

Posted by on October 2, 2014 in Amendments, Constitution

 

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Puzzle 1 and Puzzle 2

Received via E-Mail

Puzzle One:

Imagine you are a 3 year old to 8 year old child.  You are on your own without adults.

You are asked to walk from Houston, Texas to Minneapolis, Minnesota on your own with no food or belongings to sustain you.

Then you are asked to walk an additional 100 miles past Minnesota.

Could you do it?

How long would it take you as a 6 year old?  That is the minimum distance these poor, helpless little ones have supposedly walked from Central America to the border of Texas, again, on their own.  They didn’t get lost.

And they survived the journey without help (unless you buy in to the notion that a destitute out-of-work family run out of their homes by gangs and living in squalor somehow came up with $8,000 to $10,000 for EACH child to pay a coyote to take them to the border).

Mexico - 01

Puzzle Two:

Now, on the map above, you must start somewhere in the green area.  Let’s make it easy and start where green meets orange, so that you had the least mileage by not having to cover the whole green area.  Just start where the green meets the orange.  Blue, of course, is water.

Your task is to figure a route from the green area to the purple area without going into the blue area and while avoiding towns and cities in the orange area.

The black line is the distance from the nearest town to Mexico’s southern border that touches the green area to Laredo, Texas, one of the CLOSEST purple towns —1,220 miles across desert and mountains with no equipment or food or help.

If orange had stopped these innocents where orange touches green, problem would not have occurred.  However, what six year old do you know who could walk 1,220 miles (minimum), probably more like 1,500 miles on their own without dying?

How many days would it take for a 6 year old to walk 1,220 miles without help, directions, food, water, sun protection, etc.?

 

Answer:

The truth of all this isn’t being given to us. Someone created and assisted this, and the media should be figuring out who it is, don’t you think?

 
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Posted by on August 5, 2014 in Illegal Immigration

 

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Voter Thoughts On Missouri 08/05/14 Ballot Questions

From Missouri Voter Jason:

Here are my thoughts about the proposed constitutional amendments.

#1. “Right to Farm.”  The language is so broad that it is, to me, meaningless.  There are statutes on the books (Section 537.295 of the Missouri Revised Statutes) that address the issue of “nuisance suits” that seem to be the core argument in favor of the amendment.  I’m leaning against the amendment, but am open to argument in favor.

#5 “Unalienable Right to Keep and Bear Arms.”  While I think the language of this amendment has been poorly drafted, it aims to solidify the right to keep and bear arms and removes an impediment to concealed carry. I favor the amendment.

#7 “Increase Sales and Use Tax for Transportation.” I am opposed to this tax increase.  I’m taxed enough already.  More philosophically, I question whether sales tax should be used for transportation expenditures.  I generally prefer charging service users, and a fuel or tire or other ratable tax more directly associates the funding source with the expenditure purpose. (The advent of hybrid and electric vehicles, however, foils the purpose of the gasoline tax in making road users pay for roads; so, another (fair) way of apportioning the cost of roads to users needs to be developed.)  If more money is needed for roads (and I must be persuaded of the need), then a roads-related tax needs to be proposed.  I am opposed to using road-related funds for mass transit projects, aviation, ports, and the other transporation systems that would be funded by the proposed sales and use tax amendment. Again, philosophically, I would generate funding for these type projects from the users of those modes of transporation.

#8. “Veterans Lottery Ticket.”  I am opposed to the state operating a lottery, so the specification of a particular kind of lottery ticket to fund the state veterans homes, etc., is not something I support.  I believe these expenditures should be covered by everyone in the state (which means sales and/or income tax sources), not just those who gamble.

#9. “Security of Electronic Communications and Data.”  I support the amendment to include “electronic communications and data” in the list of protections against unreasonable search or seizure.  This amendment, incidentally, is consistent with the recent US Supreme Court ruling (Riley v. California and United States v. Wurie) that held a warrant was required before a cell phone could be searched by the authorities.  This ruling essentially extends Fourth Amendment (US Constitution) protections to at least some forms of electronic communications and data.  Amending the Missouri constitution to explicitly include electronic communications and data brings the state constitution into the modern world where we have not only papers and effects that are safe from warrantless search, but electronic information as well.

 

Missouri-Capitol[1]

 
4 Comments

Posted by on July 9, 2014 in Amendments, Election, Freedom

 

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Real Work Force – 06/30/14

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for June 2014 showing an decrease in the unemployment rate from 6.3% to 6.1% with a better than expected 228,000  jobs created.

The Gray Lady’s cheerleaders applauded:

The economy accelerated in June, with employers adding 288,000 jobs, well above the rate of hiring recorded in the first five months of 2014 and another sign that growth is finally rebounding.The Labor Department also said on Thursday that the unemployment rate fell 0.2 percentage point, to 6.1 percent, the lowest since September 2008, when the economy’s fortunes turned sharply lower as Lehman Brothers collapsed and the financial crisis ensued.Nearly six years later, some of the scars remain — like a historically low rate of Americans in the work force. But the job market has been showing signs of health, even as the overall economic growth rate has been anemic.

A -2.9% GDP is “anemic”??  I’m sure Reagan’s 7.9% GDP was anemic as well.

At Forbes, a pin was stuck in the silver lining:

The labor force participation rate, however, was stagnant at 62.8% for the third month in a row. At 59% the employment-population ratio was little changed from the prior month. “Perhaps the only disappointment might be that average hourly earnings growth remains subdued,” wrote RBS’ Sharif. Hourly earnings gained just 0.2% in June, bringing the year-over-year rate to 2.0%. The workweek was steady at 34.5 hours.

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is in the wagon versus who is pulling the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

.

RWF - 20140630 - Real Work Force - 01

.

After the April nosedive, the rate is struggling to rise back to the levels of the prior year.  There was little change in the labor force number this month, so while 288,000 jobs is a good headline, only 81,000 net jobs were added.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month

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RWF - 20140630 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

.

Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

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RWF - 20140630 - Labor Force - 01

.

Population Estimate from census.gov

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RWF - 20140630 - Population Estimate - 01

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Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
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Posted by on July 3, 2014 in Economy, Unemployment

 

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Vote NO On Missouri August 5th Tax Increases!

By Jan Farrar and Brian Bollmann:

On August 5th, you are being asked by the Missouri Legislature to increase your sales taxes.  Amendment 7, which is the MoDOT Sales tax that plans to bring in more than they need over the 10 year period to spend on projects they propose now. In the meantime, MoDOT has spent the stimulus money on the purchase of the billboard signs all across MO to “Inform you of road conditions and tell you that MoDOT Cares.”

Barrel Bob can be seen at construction sites across Missouri; signs advertise upcoming roadwork, and of course, “MoDOT Cares” is up in lights all across the state. Maybe MoDOT should get out of the advertising business with our tax dollars. The Missouri General Assembly claims that this tax will spur job growth. Is MoDOT in the job growth business? Our tax dollars already support the US Dept of Labor, the US Division of Employment Security. We need another redundant Department of Job Growth Department? Additionally, Amendment 7 will create a county and city slush fund for politicians to dole out to favored projects, and there’s no wording in the bill to prevent the construction of warehouses near the St. Louis Airport – the China Hub.

On one hand, Missouri legislators have passed a tax cut and tell us it will spur the economy and job growth. On the other hand, Missouri legislators have passed a tax increase (to the ballot) and tell us it will spur the economy and job growth. Which one is it? It can’t be both.

Please vote ‘NO’ on Amendment 7.

In Cape Girardeau County only, Proposition K is on the ballot:

On the August 5th ballot, voters of Cape Girardeau County will be asked to approve yet another tax to be added to our current list of taxes. You will have another chance to give the government more of you hard earned money.

Proposition K is a tax that gives control of up to $3,000,000 of your money to an UNELECTED board to dole out to selected people as they see fit – many of whom have made very bad choices of their own accord. We’re getting taxed to pay for the bad choices of other people. Oftentimes, such taxes are tied with Federal Government money and programs that will come with strings attached and remove the control of our tax money from the county.

This is a tax with NO oversight, and it is all about emotion. There are over a dozen programs in the area including social workers in nearly every Missouri school to refer these children to existing programs that can be tweaked if necessary to “help the children.”

Please vote ‘NO’ on Proposition K.

 

Barrel Bob… …a testament to Wants vs. Needs:

Barrel Bob - 20140603 - 02

 
1 Comment

Posted by on June 24, 2014 in Government Waste, Miscellaneous, Taxes

 

American Healthcare: A Product Of Our Self-Governance

 

By Helen Gelhot:

American Healthcare Must be a Product by, of and for its People and Our Self Governance

People worldwide have long sought US health care. Under the likes of ObamaCare – centralized healthcare (CHC), many US doctors are leaving our profession rather than deal with regulation onslaught.

To maintain CHC expenses, with the rolls adding 10-20M more patients, the Independent Patient Advisory Boards (IPABs), aka “death panels” must restrict to whom and when care is allotted. With government inefficiency and corporate greed, costs and taxes will surely rise.

CHC destroys the sacred doctor patient relationship. Doctors must now follow heavy dictates, even denying care. And why has Congress exempted itself from CHC?

If CHC’s purpose is to build a better system, it would dictate interstate competition for insurance companies and as tort reform to limit recovery in nonphysical damage claims. We Missourians can find alternatives to both the downward spiral in actual healthcare and the disastrous trajectory of costs.

One alternative example can be found at the New Jersey medical clinic, Zaraphath. Started by the Doctors Eck in 2003, it has had great success providing healthcare without big government involvement.

Patient costs per clinic visit are as low as $13 compared to $160 at a FQHC (Federally Qualified Health Center) or $1000 at an ER. Costs are kept low; the all-volunteer facility physicians are protected without high malpractice insurance costs under the Federal Tort Claims Act of 1996. Additionally, ancillary services and most pharmaceutical medications are donated.

The indigent patient does not need full-coverage insurance; they need good, basic healthcare. Missouri could adopt NJ-like policies to reduce ER and FQHC visits and their Medicare and Medicaid costs. Affordable clinic visits could be free or sliding scale, utilizing insurance only for medical catastrophes.

The Drs. Eck plan to grow this model by having physicians volunteer four hours weekly in exchange for malpractice protection at their primary practices. The NJ Volunteer Physicians Protection Act, currently being considered in NJ, VA, and soon PA. Physicians could offer common-sense care without expensive, “CYA” testing; medical practice would be affordable despite shrinking reimbursements.

The NJ figures below from FY2012 demonstrate the success of this free clinic model.     Note: NJ & MO budgets / Medicaid costs are similar in magnitude and proportion.

NJ Medicaid – $10.7B of a $33B state budget

(MO Medicaid – $8B of a $24B state budget during the same period)

$5.4B (of $10.7B) is for acute care in NJ;

  • $2.4B (of the $5.4B) – hospitals and outpatient facilities
  • $2B – managed care
  • $500M -administrators (20%)

$90M – Doctors, labs, all imaging, etc. Only about 1/60 (1.67%) –These costs are what we traditionally think of as healthcare costs; however, they received the smallest monies in the acute care budget of $5.4B.

$500M (20cents of each dollar) for administrators who never touch a patient? The jig is up! Americans know this is unacceptable. For example; OK City’s cash surgery center (The Surgery Center of Oklahoma) sinus surgery is $4.8K-$7K. Integris Hospital, nearby, features the same surgery for $30K+; a $9K pace-maker insertion is $100K at Integris.

Why? Perhaps it is because Integris Hospital employs approximately 18 “suits” with annual salaries of $400K+; surprise!

If our goal is truly to help those without care, legislators need to get out of bed with the insurance companies and free them to compete across state lines.

Practices’ overhead would be manageable without huge malpractice premiums; doctors could see patients longer without charge.

Medicaid could be augmented by a more personalized, charitable network of non-government free clinics (NGFCs). As churches and civic groups start more NGFCs, supply would meet demand.

Multiple MO legislators contend this true change would not work – it would upset both the trial lawyers (the most powerful lobby in Jefferson City) with fewer cases, and the insurance industry with less premium revenues.

Stop immoral Managed Care and profiteering from our bloated Medicaid budget while riding physician’s backs. Physicians cannot serve two masters. Is incentivizing physicians, clinics or hospitals to give less care to Missouri patients reasonable? Missouri’s own venerable Dr. Arthur Gale addresses this in his books: “The Hijacking of American Medicine by the FTC” and “The Hijacking of American Medicine by Managed Care.”

Will legislators and some puppet masters allow meaningful change outlined herein? This includes ending perks and promises, promoting Missouri’s “blanketing of Managed Care.” Will Medicaid expansion attempts stop?

These healthcare budget issues and their feasible answers deserve consideration. Anything less is poor stewardship.

Citizen lobbyists are awakened. Let Self Governance prevail!

 

 

 
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Posted by on May 1, 2014 in Health Care, Self-Governance

 

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