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Category Archives: Unemployment

Real Work Force – 11/30/14

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for November 2014 showing no change to the unemployment rate at 5.8% with a better than expected 320,000  jobs created.

The Gray Lady’s cheerleaders continued their applause:

Ever since the recovery from the Great Recession began more than five years ago, the most crucial missing pieces of the economic puzzle were the lack of consistently strong gains in hiring and better wages for most working Americans struggling to make ends meet. Now, at last, those pieces are starting to fall into place. The Labor Department reported on Friday that employers added 321,000 jobs in November, a much stronger number than economists had predicted and the 10th consecutive month of net job gains above 200,000.

But at the Labor Department, they’re having trouble explaining the numbers compared to November 2013:

The raw, unadjusted data from Labor showed that 523,000 new jobs were created in November 2013. After that figure was seasonally adjusted, the growth was reduced to 203,000.The raw, unadjusted numbers reported Friday showed 497,000 new jobs — or 26,000 less than last year’s 523,000 raw number. Yet, this November’s adjustment resulted in a headline figure of 321,000 — or a whopping 118,000 more than last year.If the seasonal adjustments stayed consistent Friday’s growth should have been less than last year’s 203,000!

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is ‘in’ the wagon versus who is ‘pulling’ the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

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RWF - 20141130 - Real Work Force - 01

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After the April 2014 nosedive, the rate is struggling to rise back to the levels of the prior year.  There was little change in the labor force number again this month, so while 320,000 jobs is a good headline, it will likely be adjusted more in line with November 2013.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month:

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RWF - 20141130 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

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Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

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RWF - 20141130 - Labor Force - 01

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Population Estimate from census.gov:

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RWF - 20141130 - Population Estimate - 01

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Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
1 Comment

Posted by on December 8, 2014 in Economy, Unemployment

 

Tags: , , ,

Real Work Force – 06/30/14

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for June 2014 showing an decrease in the unemployment rate from 6.3% to 6.1% with a better than expected 228,000  jobs created.

The Gray Lady’s cheerleaders applauded:

The economy accelerated in June, with employers adding 288,000 jobs, well above the rate of hiring recorded in the first five months of 2014 and another sign that growth is finally rebounding.The Labor Department also said on Thursday that the unemployment rate fell 0.2 percentage point, to 6.1 percent, the lowest since September 2008, when the economy’s fortunes turned sharply lower as Lehman Brothers collapsed and the financial crisis ensued.Nearly six years later, some of the scars remain — like a historically low rate of Americans in the work force. But the job market has been showing signs of health, even as the overall economic growth rate has been anemic.

A -2.9% GDP is “anemic”??  I’m sure Reagan’s 7.9% GDP was anemic as well.

At Forbes, a pin was stuck in the silver lining:

The labor force participation rate, however, was stagnant at 62.8% for the third month in a row. At 59% the employment-population ratio was little changed from the prior month. “Perhaps the only disappointment might be that average hourly earnings growth remains subdued,” wrote RBS’ Sharif. Hourly earnings gained just 0.2% in June, bringing the year-over-year rate to 2.0%. The workweek was steady at 34.5 hours.

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is in the wagon versus who is pulling the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

.

RWF - 20140630 - Real Work Force - 01

.

After the April nosedive, the rate is struggling to rise back to the levels of the prior year.  There was little change in the labor force number this month, so while 288,000 jobs is a good headline, only 81,000 net jobs were added.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month

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RWF - 20140630 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

.

Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

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RWF - 20140630 - Labor Force - 01

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Population Estimate from census.gov

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RWF - 20140630 - Population Estimate - 01

.

Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
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Posted by on July 3, 2014 in Economy, Unemployment

 

Tags: , , ,

Real Work Force – 02/28/14

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for February 2014 showing an increase in the unemployment rate from 6.6% to 6.7% with a better than expected 175,000 jobs created.

The Gray Lady’s cheerleaders applauded:

As Job Creation Increases in February, Economists See Signs of a Spring Thaw

…The American economy appeared to emerge from a winter hibernation in February, creating more jobs than in either of the previous two months and suggesting that momentum in the labor market might gradually build with the arrival of spring.

…but still included this sober statement:

…the payroll gain in February was still well short of the pace needed to return the economy to full employment anytime soon or to quickly reduce the ranks of the long-term unemployed.

At Forbes, the somber discussion

The total number of out-of-work Americans held steady at about 10.5 million, the Labor Department reported. The [FedGov version] labor participation rate, a key gauge of the percentage of working-age Americans currently employed, held steady at 63%, its lowest level in four decades.

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is in the wagon versus who is pulling the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

.

RWF - 20140228 - Real Work Force - 01

.

No change in the headline number this month, so while 175,000 jobs is good, many Americans tried to re-enter the work force with no luck.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month

.

RWF - 20140228 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

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Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

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RWF - 20140228 - Labor Force - 01

.

Population Estimate from census.gov

.

RWF - 20140228 - Population Estimate - 01

.

Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on April 1, 2014 in Economy, Unemployment

 

Tags: , , ,

Real Work Force – 01/31/14

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for January 2014 showing another drop in the unemployment rate from 6.7% to 6.6% with below expectations 113,000 jobs created.

The “Drum”beat leftists at Mother Jones believe austerity was madness:

This is the price of austerity. If public sector employment had been growing normally during this period, we’d have about a million more jobs than we do now and the unemployment rate would probably be below 6 percent. We are our own worst enemies.

At HotAir, soberly…

Still, we need to add 150,000 jobs a month to keep pace with population growth. We’re closer to it than in December, which was upgraded to 75,000 jobs added, but still far off the pace for even stagnation.

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is in the wagon versus who is pulling the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

.

RWF - 20140131 - Real Work Force - 01.

A bit of a bump this month, but note that the Labor Force in January of 2014 is SMALLER than the Labor Force in January 2013.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month

.

RWF - 20140131 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

.

Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

.

RWF - 20140131 - Labor Force - 01

.

Population Estimate from census.gov

.

RWF - 20140131 - Population Estimate - 01

.

Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on February 16, 2014 in Economy, Unemployment

 

Tags: , , ,

Real Work Force – 12/31/13

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for December 2013 showing a massive 0.3% drop in the unemployment rate to 6.7% with measly 74,000 jobs created.

The Liberal Cheerleaders at ThinkProgress could only muster a matter-of-fact tone:

Retail added 55,000 jobs in December and food service and drinking places added 9,000 jobs, while professional and business services added 19,000 jobs. Government employment fell by 13,000

Heritage finds a trend:

This continues a long-term trend over the year of unemployment falling because of fewer Americans looking for work. The employment-to-population ratio has not improved over the past year despite a 1.2 percentage point drop in the unemployment rate. Long-term unemployment also persists at historically high rates despite the large decline in the number of unemployed. Almost two-fifths of the unemployed—3.9 million workers—have been out of work for over six months. The proportion of jobless in long-term unemployment has barely improved over the course of the recovery. Most of December’s drop in unemployment came from those out of work for less than six months.

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is in the wagon versus who is pulling the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

.

RWF - 20131231 - Real Work Force - 01.

Down she goes to the lowest Real Work Force of the Century.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month

.

RWF - 20131231 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01.

Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

.

RWF - 20131231 - Labor Force - 01

Population Estimate from census.gov

.

RWF - 20131231 - Population Estimate - 01

.

 

Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on January 30, 2014 in Economy, Unemployment

 

Tags: , , ,

Real Work Force – 11/30/13

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for November 2013 showing a 0.2% drop in the unemployment rate.

Politico trumpeted that the Unemployment Rate had hit a 5-year low!

MJ Lee noted, “The economy added 203,000 jobs in November while the unemployment rate dropped to 7 percent, the Labor Department reported on Friday. The last time that the unemployment rate stood below 7 percent was in November 2008.”

The Wall Street Journal found come caveats:

But here’s the bad news: the increase in the number of people in the labor force didn’t make up all the ground lost by the huge drop in October. Even though 455,000 people were added to those working or looking for a job, the labor force is still 265,000 people short of where it was in September.

The participation rate, the labor force as a percent of the whole population, rose to 63% in November but is still down from 63.2% in October. That rate remains at its lowest level since 1978 when large numbers of women were entering the work force for the first time.

Despite this month’s improvement, there’s still a big hole in the jobs market More than four million people have been out of work for more than six months and nearly 11 million in total are looking for work.

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is in the wagon versus who is pulling the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

.

RWF - 20131130 - Real Work Force - 01.

That’s a nice uptick although one can certainly expect a revision at the end of 2013.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month

.

RWF - 20131130 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

.

Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

RWF - 20131130 - Labor Force - 01

Population Estimate from census.gov

RWF - 20131130 - Population Estimate - 01

Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on December 10, 2013 in Economy, Unemployment

 

Tags: , , ,

Real Work Force – 10/31/13

Graph - General - Decreasing - 01

The FedGov released its unemployment propaganda for October 2013 showing a 0.1% bump in the unemployment rate.

I’m sure you can imagine that Breitbart and the NYT spun the news a bit differently:

Mike Flynn noted, “Over the last year, the economy has averaged 190k new jobs each month. This level is below the amount of job creation necessary to keep pace with population growth. Many more jobs than this, however, are needed to trim the ranks of the long-term unemployed and bring discouraged workers back into the labor force.”

For Nelson Schwartz, “Defying predictions that the government shutdown would sap job growth, private employers added more than 200,000 positions in October, well above even the most optimistic estimates on Wall Street.

FedGov calculations still don’t really show the true picture of employment in America.  They don’t answer this question:

Ignoring all demographics, who is in the wagon versus who is pulling the wagon?

How many people are working as a percent of all the people in the United States?  Here’s the trend…

.

RWF - 20131031 - Real Work Force - 01

.

At the end of Clinton’s administration, over 50% of the population in America were in the labor force!  That number stayed mostly the same and then increased through through the early parts of 2007.  That percentage has decreased since the beginning of 2007 and is now down by fully 2%.  You’re welcome to comment below as to what happened in early 2007 to turn the trend around.

In today’s numbers, that’s a reduction of almost 6,000,000 jobs.

Below is the percentage of change from month-to-month

.

RWF - 20131031 - Real Work Force (Percent Change) - 01

.

Labor Force Data from bls.gov:

RWF - 20131031 - Labor Force - 01

Population Estimate from census.gov

RWF - 20131031 - Population Estimate - 01

Things won’t get better in this country until millions more people are pulling the wagon!

 
1 Comment

Posted by on November 8, 2013 in Economy, Unemployment

 

Tags: , , ,

 
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